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Prediction Error

Behaviour Makes More Sense 🧠🐾

Prediction Error


Sometimes, learning happens because something doesn’t happen the way the brain expected.


That’s prediction error.


A dog anticipates one outcome based on their previous experiences — but something different happens instead. That little mismatch between ā€œwhat I thought would happenā€ and ā€œwhat actually happenedā€ can provide incredibly important information to the brain.


And this is one of the reasons simply repeating an experience isn’t necessarily enough to change how a dog feels about it.


If every encounter confirms the dog’s existing prediction — dogs are scary, hands near me are worrying, this place isn’t safe — there’s very little reason for that prediction to change.


But carefully creating experiences where the outcome is safer, gentler or more manageable than expected can begin to provide new information.


Not through flooding.

Not through forcing them to ā€œface their fears.ā€

And not by expecting one positive experience to undo a history of difficult ones.


Through small, repeated experiences that allow the brain to discover:


Maybe what I predicted isn’t always what happens.


Because when we understand how learning actually works, behaviour makes more sense. 🩵🐾




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